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Break, retest, hold

Breakout and retest analysis: was it real?

Most breakouts fail. The ones that work tend to share a pattern: a clean, well-tested level, a decisive break, and a retest that holds. Skip any piece and you're often buying the top of a fakeout.

The Breakout & Retest lens checks each step on your chart and tells you which ones are there, which are missing, and the level that would prove the breakout wrong.

Grade my chart with B&R →Best on: Any market · 5m–1D

The 6 rules your chart is graded on

Weights add up to 100. Each rule passes or fails with a one-line reason, and code converts the points to an A–F grade.

Clear level

A well-defined horizontal level with multiple touches.

+20
Decisive break

A strong candle closed through the level.

+20
Retest happened

Price came back to test the broken level.

+20
Retest held

The retest held (rejection wick, higher low / lower high).

+20
Volume confirms

Volume was higher on the break than on the retest.

+10
Room to next level

There's room to the next level in the breakout direction.

+10

What it marks on your chart

  • Key level

    Horizontal level with multiple touches.

  • Breakout candle

    Decisive close through the level.

  • Retest

    Price returned to the level.

  • Hold / rejection

    Rejection at the retest.

Lesson

Old ceiling, new floor

When a level breaks, it often flips roles: old resistance becomes support. The retest is the market checking that flip. A retest that holds confirms it; one that fails often turns into a fake-out.

Who it's for: Traders who want confirmation before trusting a breakout.

Questions

What if the retest hasn't happened yet?

That rule fails for now, and the breakdown says what a successful retest would look like so you know what to watch.

How does it spot a fakeout?

It checks whether price closed back inside the range after the break. A quick reclaim of the level is the classic fakeout sign.

Learn the concepts

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